Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to overnight lows of 17–20°C in Paris on August 27, driven by a shift to a southwesterly Atlantic flow with increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. Météo-France guidance highlights 20°C minimums amid humid, unstable conditions and thunderstorm risk in the evening, while ensemble spreads reflect timing uncertainties in cloud breaks that could allow brief dips toward 18°C or hold near 19–20°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 18–20°C range, where historical August norms (around 14°C lows) contrast with the current warmer, moister pattern influenced by recent upstream disturbances. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 27?
19°C 39%
18°C 27%
20°C 20%
17°C 16%
14°C or below
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
10%
17°C
16%
18°C
27%
19°C
39%
20°C
20%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
5%
19°C 39%
18°C 27%
20°C 20%
17°C 16%
14°C or below
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
10%
17°C
16%
18°C
27%
19°C
39%
20°C
20%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to overnight lows of 17–20°C in Paris on August 27, driven by a shift to a southwesterly Atlantic flow with increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. Météo-France guidance highlights 20°C minimums amid humid, unstable conditions and thunderstorm risk in the evening, while ensemble spreads reflect timing uncertainties in cloud breaks that could allow brief dips toward 18°C or hold near 19–20°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 18–20°C range, where historical August norms (around 14°C lows) contrast with the current warmer, moister pattern influenced by recent upstream disturbances. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp