Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models highlight sunny intervals with a daytime maximum near 25–27°C for London on August 27, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure before Atlantic fronts arrive. This positions the market-implied odds around 24–26°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud timing and shower development that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C. Near-average late-summer conditions and historical variability in maximum temperatures under similar setups support the tight clustering of probabilities, with fresh model runs expected to refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 27?
Highest temperature in London on August 27?
25°C 32%
24°C 29%
26°C 18%
23°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
13%
24°C
29%
25°C
32%
26°C
18%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 32%
24°C 29%
26°C 18%
23°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
18°C or below
$425 KL.
<1%
19°C
$525 KL.
<1%
20°C
$117 KL.
<1%
21°C
$56 KL.
2%
22°C
$194 KL.
4%
23°C
$309 KL.
13%
24°C
$350 KL.
29%
25°C
$181 KL.
32%
26°C
$170 KL.
18%
27°C
$57 KL.
8%
28°C or higher
$23 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models highlight sunny intervals with a daytime maximum near 25–27°C for London on August 27, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure before Atlantic fronts arrive. This positions the market-implied odds around 24–26°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud timing and shower development that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C. Near-average late-summer conditions and historical variability in maximum temperatures under similar setups support the tight clustering of probabilities, with fresh model runs expected to refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,316Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models highlight sunny intervals with a daytime maximum near 25–27°C for London on August 27, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure before Atlantic fronts arrive. This positions the market-implied odds around 24–26°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud timing and shower development that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C. Near-average late-summer conditions and historical variability in maximum temperatures under similar setups support the tight clustering of probabilities, with fresh model runs expected to refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,316Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models highlight sunny intervals with a daytime maximum near 25–27°C for London on August 27, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure before Atlantic fronts arrive. This positions the market-implied odds around 24–26°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud timing and shower development that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C. Near-average late-summer conditions and historical variability in maximum temperatures under similar setups support the tight clustering of probabilities, with fresh model runs expected to refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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