**Persistent southerly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, anchoring trader-implied odds near 26–27 °C for Hong Kong’s official minimum on 27 August.** Hong Kong Observatory guidance explicitly forecasts a 27–31 °C range under an active southerly airstream that favors occasional heavy showers and squally thunderstorms, especially early in the day. High humidity (75–95 %), persistent low-to-mid-level cloud, and only moderate winds reduce the potential for temperatures to drop below the mid-20s. Recent model consensus and historical August climatology (typical overnight lows near 25 °C) support this narrow band, but the exact minimum hinges on the timing and intensity of showers plus any brief clear spells that could allow slightly more cooling. The near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts reflects this residual uncertainty in short-term forecast details rather than any major shift in the synoptic pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 27?
26°C 45%
27°C 35%
25°C 13%
28°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
13%
26°C
45%
27°C
35%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 45%
27°C 35%
25°C 13%
28°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
22°C or below
$204 KL.
<1%
23°C
$764 KL.
<1%
24°C
$450 KL.
3%
25°C
$724 KL.
13%
26°C
$1,417 KL.
45%
27°C
$738 KL.
35%
28°C
$726 KL.
6%
29°C
$101 KL.
1%
30°C
$164 KL.
<1%
31°C
$171 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$420 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent southerly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, anchoring trader-implied odds near 26–27 °C for Hong Kong’s official minimum on 27 August.**
Hong Kong Observatory guidance explicitly forecasts a 27–31 °C range under an active southerly airstream that favors occasional heavy showers and squally thunderstorms, especially early in the day. High humidity (75–95 %), persistent low-to-mid-level cloud, and only moderate winds reduce the potential for temperatures to drop below the mid-20s. Recent model consensus and historical August climatology (typical overnight lows near 25 °C) support this narrow band, but the exact minimum hinges on the timing and intensity of showers plus any brief clear spells that could allow slightly more cooling.
The near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts reflects this residual uncertainty in short-term forecast details rather than any major shift in the synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,527Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent southerly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, anchoring trader-implied odds near 26–27 °C for Hong Kong’s official minimum on 27 August.**
Hong Kong Observatory guidance explicitly forecasts a 27–31 °C range under an active southerly airstream that favors occasional heavy showers and squally thunderstorms, especially early in the day. High humidity (75–95 %), persistent low-to-mid-level cloud, and only moderate winds reduce the potential for temperatures to drop below the mid-20s. Recent model consensus and historical August climatology (typical overnight lows near 25 °C) support this narrow band, but the exact minimum hinges on the timing and intensity of showers plus any brief clear spells that could allow slightly more cooling.
The near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts reflects this residual uncertainty in short-term forecast details rather than any major shift in the synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$5,527Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southerly flow and widespread cloud cover with showers are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, anchoring trader-implied odds near 26–27 °C for Hong Kong’s official minimum on 27 August.** Hong Kong Observatory guidance explicitly forecasts a 27–31 °C range under an active southerly airstream that favors occasional heavy showers and squally thunderstorms, especially early in the day. High humidity (75–95 %), persistent low-to-mid-level cloud, and only moderate winds reduce the potential for temperatures to drop below the mid-20s. Recent model consensus and historical August climatology (typical overnight lows near 25 °C) support this narrow band, but the exact minimum hinges on the timing and intensity of showers plus any brief clear spells that could allow slightly more cooling. The near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts reflects this residual uncertainty in short-term forecast details rather than any major shift in the synoptic pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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