Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily minimum of 28°C on August 28 amid mid-August monsoon influences and moderate rainfall, establishing the dominant market consensus at 99.8% implied probability for that exact threshold. Sustained cloud cover and onshore flow prevented typical nocturnal cooling below this level, consistent with regional climatology where August minima often hover near 26–29°C during unsettled periods. Recent model runs and station data aligned closely with this outcome, leaving little room for revision. Only an unexpected post-event data correction from the primary observatory site or a discrepant reading from a secondary station could realistically alter resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
29°C <1%
$19,884 KL.
$19,884 KL.
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
29°C <1%
$19,884 KL.
$19,884 KL.
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$273 KL.
<1%
23°C
$397 KL.
<1%
24°C
$756 KL.
<1%
25°C
$1,193 KL.
<1%
26°C
$3,327 KL.
<1%
27°C
$2,496 KL.
1%
28°C
$6,033 KL.
100%
29°C
$4,352 KL.
<1%
30°C
$290 KL.
<1%
31°C
$380 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$388 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily minimum of 28°C on August 28 amid mid-August monsoon influences and moderate rainfall, establishing the dominant market consensus at 99.8% implied probability for that exact threshold. Sustained cloud cover and onshore flow prevented typical nocturnal cooling below this level, consistent with regional climatology where August minima often hover near 26–29°C during unsettled periods. Recent model runs and station data aligned closely with this outcome, leaving little room for revision. Only an unexpected post-event data correction from the primary observatory site or a discrepant reading from a secondary station could realistically alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$19,884Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily minimum of 28°C on August 28 amid mid-August monsoon influences and moderate rainfall, establishing the dominant market consensus at 99.8% implied probability for that exact threshold. Sustained cloud cover and onshore flow prevented typical nocturnal cooling below this level, consistent with regional climatology where August minima often hover near 26–29°C during unsettled periods. Recent model runs and station data aligned closely with this outcome, leaving little room for revision. Only an unexpected post-event data correction from the primary observatory site or a discrepant reading from a secondary station could realistically alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$19,884Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily minimum of 28°C on August 28 amid mid-August monsoon influences and moderate rainfall, establishing the dominant market consensus at 99.8% implied probability for that exact threshold. Sustained cloud cover and onshore flow prevented typical nocturnal cooling below this level, consistent with regional climatology where August minima often hover near 26–29°C during unsettled periods. Recent model runs and station data aligned closely with this outcome, leaving little room for revision. Only an unexpected post-event data correction from the primary observatory site or a discrepant reading from a secondary station could realistically alter resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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