Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 89°F in Miami on August 30 amid likely afternoon showers and thunderstorms driven by persistent easterly flow and sea-breeze convergence. Cloud cover and convection are expected to limit peak solar heating, keeping readings in the upper 80s to low 90s rather than allowing full August climatological potential near 90-92°F. This consensus underpins the market's leading 90-91°F and 92-93°F outcomes at combined 69% implied probability, while the 21.5% share for 88-89°F reflects uncertainty over storm timing and coverage that could further cap the daily maximum. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the morning will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on August 30?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 30?
90-91°F 45%
92-93°F 25%
88-89°F 22%
94-95°F 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
25%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 45%
92-93°F 25%
88-89°F 22%
94-95°F 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
79°F or below
$240 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$76 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$85 KL.
1%
84-85°F
$90 KL.
2%
86-87°F
$112 KL.
4%
88-89°F
$203 KL.
22%
90-91°F
$750 KL.
45%
92-93°F
$521 KL.
25%
94-95°F
$311 KL.
5%
96-97°F
$149 KL.
2%
98°F or higher
$26 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 89°F in Miami on August 30 amid likely afternoon showers and thunderstorms driven by persistent easterly flow and sea-breeze convergence. Cloud cover and convection are expected to limit peak solar heating, keeping readings in the upper 80s to low 90s rather than allowing full August climatological potential near 90-92°F. This consensus underpins the market's leading 90-91°F and 92-93°F outcomes at combined 69% implied probability, while the 21.5% share for 88-89°F reflects uncertainty over storm timing and coverage that could further cap the daily maximum. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the morning will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,564Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 89°F in Miami on August 30 amid likely afternoon showers and thunderstorms driven by persistent easterly flow and sea-breeze convergence. Cloud cover and convection are expected to limit peak solar heating, keeping readings in the upper 80s to low 90s rather than allowing full August climatological potential near 90-92°F. This consensus underpins the market's leading 90-91°F and 92-93°F outcomes at combined 69% implied probability, while the 21.5% share for 88-89°F reflects uncertainty over storm timing and coverage that could further cap the daily maximum. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the morning will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,564Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models indicate a high near 89°F in Miami on August 30 amid likely afternoon showers and thunderstorms driven by persistent easterly flow and sea-breeze convergence. Cloud cover and convection are expected to limit peak solar heating, keeping readings in the upper 80s to low 90s rather than allowing full August climatological potential near 90-92°F. This consensus underpins the market's leading 90-91°F and 92-93°F outcomes at combined 69% implied probability, while the 21.5% share for 88-89°F reflects uncertainty over storm timing and coverage that could further cap the daily maximum. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the morning will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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