**The 84-85°F bin commands 100% market-implied probability because official NOAA observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) recorded a daily maximum of 85°F on August 28, 2026, at 2:59 PM EDT.** This value falls squarely inside the 84-85°F range that resolves the market, while nearby stations such as Newark Liberty International reported a peak of 84.9°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. The outcome aligns with National Weather Service climatological data showing a 2°F departure above the 1991-2020 normal high of 83°F and well below the August 28 record of 99°F set in 1948. With the event concluded and initial observations published, revisions are unlikely before the next day’s data cutoff, leaving little room for alternative bins. Rare post-publication adjustments to automated ASOS readings or station quality-control flags represent the only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution, though such changes have historically been minimal for daily maxima.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on August 28?
84-85°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$50,466 KL.
$50,466 KL.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$50,466 KL.
$50,466 KL.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**The 84-85°F bin commands 100% market-implied probability because official NOAA observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) recorded a daily maximum of 85°F on August 28, 2026, at 2:59 PM EDT.** This value falls squarely inside the 84-85°F range that resolves the market, while nearby stations such as Newark Liberty International reported a peak of 84.9°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. The outcome aligns with National Weather Service climatological data showing a 2°F departure above the 1991-2020 normal high of 83°F and well below the August 28 record of 99°F set in 1948. With the event concluded and initial observations published, revisions are unlikely before the next day’s data cutoff, leaving little room for alternative bins. Rare post-publication adjustments to automated ASOS readings or station quality-control flags represent the only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution, though such changes have historically been minimal for daily maxima.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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