**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington on August 29, 2026 (99.1% implied probability), reflecting stable winter conditions and consistent official forecasts.** Northerly to northwesterly winds under mostly fine skies are expected to produce afternoon highs of 14–15°C at key stations, consistent with MetService guidance, regional observations showing daytime readings near 14°C, and climatological norms for late August (typical highs around 13–14°C). The narrow 1.5% chance for 16°C and negligible odds for other values indicate traders view deviations as unlikely absent a late surge in solar heating or measurement variance at the reporting site. A cooler outcome would require stronger southerly flow or increased cloud cover, while exceeding 15°C would need unforecasted warming—scenarios not supported by current model consensus or real-time data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
15°C 99.2%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
MỚI
$57,072 KL.
MỚI
$57,072 KL.
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
99%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.2%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
MỚI
$57,072 KL.
MỚI
$57,072 KL.
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
$900 KL.
<1%
10°C
$2,860 KL.
<1%
11°C
$345 KL.
<1%
12°C
$1,050 KL.
<1%
13°C
$2,426 KL.
<1%
14°C
$18,038 KL.
<1%
15°C
$9,505 KL.
99%
16°C
$9,823 KL.
1%
17°C
$7,615 KL.
<1%
18°C
$6,529 KL.
<1%
19°C or higher
$1,249 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington on August 29, 2026 (99.1% implied probability), reflecting stable winter conditions and consistent official forecasts.**
Northerly to northwesterly winds under mostly fine skies are expected to produce afternoon highs of 14–15°C at key stations, consistent with MetService guidance, regional observations showing daytime readings near 14°C, and climatological norms for late August (typical highs around 13–14°C). The narrow 1.5% chance for 16°C and negligible odds for other values indicate traders view deviations as unlikely absent a late surge in solar heating or measurement variance at the reporting site. A cooler outcome would require stronger southerly flow or increased cloud cover, while exceeding 15°C would need unforecasted warming—scenarios not supported by current model consensus or real-time data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$57,072Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington on August 29, 2026 (99.1% implied probability), reflecting stable winter conditions and consistent official forecasts.**
Northerly to northwesterly winds under mostly fine skies are expected to produce afternoon highs of 14–15°C at key stations, consistent with MetService guidance, regional observations showing daytime readings near 14°C, and climatological norms for late August (typical highs around 13–14°C). The narrow 1.5% chance for 16°C and negligible odds for other values indicate traders view deviations as unlikely absent a late surge in solar heating or measurement variance at the reporting site. A cooler outcome would require stronger southerly flow or increased cloud cover, while exceeding 15°C would need unforecasted warming—scenarios not supported by current model consensus or real-time data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$57,072Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington on August 29, 2026 (99.1% implied probability), reflecting stable winter conditions and consistent official forecasts.** Northerly to northwesterly winds under mostly fine skies are expected to produce afternoon highs of 14–15°C at key stations, consistent with MetService guidance, regional observations showing daytime readings near 14°C, and climatological norms for late August (typical highs around 13–14°C). The narrow 1.5% chance for 16°C and negligible odds for other values indicate traders view deviations as unlikely absent a late surge in solar heating or measurement variance at the reporting site. A cooler outcome would require stronger southerly flow or increased cloud cover, while exceeding 15°C would need unforecasted warming—scenarios not supported by current model consensus or real-time data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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