Recent official forecasts from agencies and models project a daytime high of 22–25°C for Mexico City on August 30, with afternoon convective showers and 40–60% rain probability limiting solar heating under variable cloud cover. Persistent late-summer monsoon moisture and the city’s 2,240 m elevation promote rapid thunderstorm development that caps temperatures, producing the near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of precipitation onset, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds; earlier or stronger convection favors the lower outcome while delayed or lighter activity supports the higher. Updated National Meteorological Service and global model runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
24°C 39%
25°C 37%
26°C or higher 12%
23°C 11%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
39%
25°C
37%
26°C or higher
12%
24°C 39%
25°C 37%
26°C or higher 12%
23°C 11%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
39%
25°C
37%
26°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies and models project a daytime high of 22–25°C for Mexico City on August 30, with afternoon convective showers and 40–60% rain probability limiting solar heating under variable cloud cover. Persistent late-summer monsoon moisture and the city’s 2,240 m elevation promote rapid thunderstorm development that caps temperatures, producing the near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of precipitation onset, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds; earlier or stronger convection favors the lower outcome while delayed or lighter activity supports the higher. Updated National Meteorological Service and global model runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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