Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate overnight lows in the mid-60s °F for Los Angeles on August 31, driven by a shift to typical southwest flow that reduces tropical moisture and allows clearer skies with moderate onshore winds. This follows several days of elevated heat and humidity from an upper-level ridge, with climatological averages near 65 °F and marine-layer development potentially enhancing cooling after sunset. Model consensus remains tight around these values, though small variations in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the minimum by a few degrees. Trader balance between the highest and lowest outcome bins reflects uncertainty in exact overnight minimums near resolution thresholds, with skin-in-the-game odds capturing this narrow forecast range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 31?
74°F or higher 90%
55°F or below 87%
62-63°F 48%
64-65°F 48%
55°F or below
87%
56-57°F
43%
58-59°F
47%
60-61°F
47%
62-63°F
48%
64-65°F
48%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
48%
74°F or higher
90%
74°F or higher 90%
55°F or below 87%
62-63°F 48%
64-65°F 48%
55°F or below
87%
56-57°F
43%
58-59°F
47%
60-61°F
47%
62-63°F
48%
64-65°F
48%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
48%
74°F or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate overnight lows in the mid-60s °F for Los Angeles on August 31, driven by a shift to typical southwest flow that reduces tropical moisture and allows clearer skies with moderate onshore winds. This follows several days of elevated heat and humidity from an upper-level ridge, with climatological averages near 65 °F and marine-layer development potentially enhancing cooling after sunset. Model consensus remains tight around these values, though small variations in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the minimum by a few degrees. Trader balance between the highest and lowest outcome bins reflects uncertainty in exact overnight minimums near resolution thresholds, with skin-in-the-game odds capturing this narrow forecast range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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