Current National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance for August 30, 2026, highlights elevated precipitation chances across the Southeast and Gulf Coast regions driven by moist southerly flow, lingering frontal boundaries, and daytime heating that favors scattered thunderstorms and convective showers. Model consensus shows 40-70% probability of measurable rain (≥0.01 inches) in areas like Louisiana, Mississippi, and Florida, while drier high-pressure subsidence suppresses activity over the northern Plains and West Coast. These patterns align with typical late-summer climatology, though minor shifts in steering winds or instability could alter exact locations before resolution based on official station observations. Updated short-range model runs and NWS local forecasts expected throughout August 29 will refine timing and intensity for market participants tracking skin-in-the-game consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhere will it rain on August 30?
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
14%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
50%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
$6 KL.
New York, NY
50%
Los Angeles, CA
14%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
50%
Phoenix, AZ
50%
Philadelphia, PA
50%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
50%
Boston, MA
50%
New Orleans, LA
50%
San Francisco, CA
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Current National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance for August 30, 2026, highlights elevated precipitation chances across the Southeast and Gulf Coast regions driven by moist southerly flow, lingering frontal boundaries, and daytime heating that favors scattered thunderstorms and convective showers. Model consensus shows 40-70% probability of measurable rain (≥0.01 inches) in areas like Louisiana, Mississippi, and Florida, while drier high-pressure subsidence suppresses activity over the northern Plains and West Coast. These patterns align with typical late-summer climatology, though minor shifts in steering winds or instability could alter exact locations before resolution based on official station observations. Updated short-range model runs and NWS local forecasts expected throughout August 29 will refine timing and intensity for market participants tracking skin-in-the-game consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp