The Hong Kong Observatory forecast for August 28, 2026, calls for a maximum of 32°C under a broad low-pressure trough, with mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and brief sunny intervals that support afternoon heating to that level amid high humidity and light west-to-southwest winds. Official guidance, regional station data, and model consensus align on this threshold, reinforced by an active very hot weather warning and climatological norms for late August. The 99.9% market-implied odds reflect this strong alignment of verified observational baselines and short-range forecasts. A realistic challenge would require sustained cloud cover or heavier rainfall suppressing the peak below 32°C, or an unexpected model revision pushing readings higher before the daily maximum is finalized.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
32°C 99.9%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$136,837 KL.
$136,837 KL.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.9%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$136,837 KL.
$136,837 KL.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory forecast for August 28, 2026, calls for a maximum of 32°C under a broad low-pressure trough, with mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and brief sunny intervals that support afternoon heating to that level amid high humidity and light west-to-southwest winds. Official guidance, regional station data, and model consensus align on this threshold, reinforced by an active very hot weather warning and climatological norms for late August. The 99.9% market-implied odds reflect this strong alignment of verified observational baselines and short-range forecasts. A realistic challenge would require sustained cloud cover or heavier rainfall suppressing the peak below 32°C, or an unexpected model revision pushing readings higher before the daily maximum is finalized.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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