Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms tied to a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are capping solar insolation and keeping the August 30 maximum in Hong Kong near 30–31 °C according to the latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance. High humidity (75–95 %) and light southwesterly winds further limit daytime heating, while any extended breaks in the cloud deck or lighter rainfall could allow brief warming toward 32 °C. Model consensus and recent ensemble runs show modest spread around these values, leaving the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing as forecasters await the next HKO update and finer-scale radar trends through the morning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
30°C 40%
31°C 29%
29°C 18%
32°C 10%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
18%
30°C
40%
31°C
29%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
31°C 29%
29°C 18%
32°C 10%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
18%
30°C
40%
31°C
29%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms tied to a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are capping solar insolation and keeping the August 30 maximum in Hong Kong near 30–31 °C according to the latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance. High humidity (75–95 %) and light southwesterly winds further limit daytime heating, while any extended breaks in the cloud deck or lighter rainfall could allow brief warming toward 32 °C. Model consensus and recent ensemble runs show modest spread around these values, leaving the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing as forecasters await the next HKO update and finer-scale radar trends through the morning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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