Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea will sustain mainly cloudy skies with occasional showers and squally thunderstorms on August 31, producing a high near 30°C amid 75-95% humidity and south-to-southeast winds of 3-4, gusting higher offshore. This pattern suppresses peak heating by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, favoring the market's tight clustering around 29-30°C. Differentiation among nearby outcomes hinges on thunderstorm timing and intensity—localized breaks could briefly allow 31-32°C, while heavier or earlier rain would cap readings lower—while longer-range models show modest spread due to evolving steering flow. Historical August maxima average near 31°C, but the current monsoon-influenced regime has kept recent daily highs closer to 30-31°C. Updated numerical guidance and morning observations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?
30°C 28%
29°C 26%
34°C or higher 25%
32°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
8%
29°C
26%
30°C
29%
31°C
12%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
25%
30°C 28%
29°C 26%
34°C or higher 25%
32°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
$21 KL.
<1%
25°C
$17 KL.
<1%
26°C
$23 KL.
1%
27°C
$0 KL.
6%
28°C
$0 KL.
8%
29°C
$0 KL.
26%
30°C
$29 KL.
29%
31°C
$27 KL.
12%
32°C
$0 KL.
19%
33°C
$0 KL.
5%
34°C or higher
$0 KL.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea will sustain mainly cloudy skies with occasional showers and squally thunderstorms on August 31, producing a high near 30°C amid 75-95% humidity and south-to-southeast winds of 3-4, gusting higher offshore. This pattern suppresses peak heating by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, favoring the market's tight clustering around 29-30°C. Differentiation among nearby outcomes hinges on thunderstorm timing and intensity—localized breaks could briefly allow 31-32°C, while heavier or earlier rain would cap readings lower—while longer-range models show modest spread due to evolving steering flow. Historical August maxima average near 31°C, but the current monsoon-influenced regime has kept recent daily highs closer to 30-31°C. Updated numerical guidance and morning observations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$116Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea will sustain mainly cloudy skies with occasional showers and squally thunderstorms on August 31, producing a high near 30°C amid 75-95% humidity and south-to-southeast winds of 3-4, gusting higher offshore. This pattern suppresses peak heating by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, favoring the market's tight clustering around 29-30°C. Differentiation among nearby outcomes hinges on thunderstorm timing and intensity—localized breaks could briefly allow 31-32°C, while heavier or earlier rain would cap readings lower—while longer-range models show modest spread due to evolving steering flow. Historical August maxima average near 31°C, but the current monsoon-influenced regime has kept recent daily highs closer to 30-31°C. Updated numerical guidance and morning observations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$116Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea will sustain mainly cloudy skies with occasional showers and squally thunderstorms on August 31, producing a high near 30°C amid 75-95% humidity and south-to-southeast winds of 3-4, gusting higher offshore. This pattern suppresses peak heating by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, favoring the market's tight clustering around 29-30°C. Differentiation among nearby outcomes hinges on thunderstorm timing and intensity—localized breaks could briefly allow 31-32°C, while heavier or earlier rain would cap readings lower—while longer-range models show modest spread due to evolving steering flow. Historical August maxima average near 31°C, but the current monsoon-influenced regime has kept recent daily highs closer to 30-31°C. Updated numerical guidance and morning observations will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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