Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin peg Monday's high near 99°F under mostly sunny skies with light south winds and minimal precipitation chances, aligning with the market's strong 52.5% implied probability on 98-99°F. Persistent late-summer high pressure and southerly flow support upper-90s readings, though slight model variations in afternoon peak timing and boundary-layer mixing could push the maximum into the low 100s, consistent with the 37.5% odds on 100-101°F. Historical August 31 averages near 95°F and recent hot, dry patterns reinforce the narrow range around these two bins, with limited upside risk from unexpected moisture or cloud cover before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on August 31?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 31?
98-99°F 53%
100-101°F 38%
96-97°F 8%
102-103°F 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
53%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 53%
100-101°F 38%
96-97°F 8%
102-103°F 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
89°F or below
$18 KL.
<1%
90-91°F
$28 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$27 KL.
2%
94-95°F
$0 KL.
5%
96-97°F
$24 KL.
8%
98-99°F
$219 KL.
53%
100-101°F
$137 KL.
38%
102-103°F
$32 KL.
7%
104-105°F
$0 KL.
5%
106-107°F
$18 KL.
<1%
108°F or higher
$18 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin peg Monday's high near 99°F under mostly sunny skies with light south winds and minimal precipitation chances, aligning with the market's strong 52.5% implied probability on 98-99°F. Persistent late-summer high pressure and southerly flow support upper-90s readings, though slight model variations in afternoon peak timing and boundary-layer mixing could push the maximum into the low 100s, consistent with the 37.5% odds on 100-101°F. Historical August 31 averages near 95°F and recent hot, dry patterns reinforce the narrow range around these two bins, with limited upside risk from unexpected moisture or cloud cover before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$519Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin peg Monday's high near 99°F under mostly sunny skies with light south winds and minimal precipitation chances, aligning with the market's strong 52.5% implied probability on 98-99°F. Persistent late-summer high pressure and southerly flow support upper-90s readings, though slight model variations in afternoon peak timing and boundary-layer mixing could push the maximum into the low 100s, consistent with the 37.5% odds on 100-101°F. Historical August 31 averages near 95°F and recent hot, dry patterns reinforce the narrow range around these two bins, with limited upside risk from unexpected moisture or cloud cover before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$519Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin peg Monday's high near 99°F under mostly sunny skies with light south winds and minimal precipitation chances, aligning with the market's strong 52.5% implied probability on 98-99°F. Persistent late-summer high pressure and southerly flow support upper-90s readings, though slight model variations in afternoon peak timing and boundary-layer mixing could push the maximum into the low 100s, consistent with the 37.5% odds on 100-101°F. Historical August 31 averages near 95°F and recent hot, dry patterns reinforce the narrow range around these two bins, with limited upside risk from unexpected moisture or cloud cover before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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