Forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and other models indicate a daytime high in Moscow of 19–22°C on August 29, 2026, under variable cloudiness, light rain chances, and light southeasterly winds near 755–756 mmHg pressure. This aligns closely with the late-August climatological norm of roughly 20°C and recent model runs showing no major anomalies or rapid warming. Trader consensus heavily favors 21°C (69.5% implied probability) as the most likely peak, followed by 20°C, reflecting the tight range of official guidance and limited upside potential from current steering patterns and moisture. Minor probabilities on 22°C or lower values account for forecast uncertainty and local microclimate variations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
21°C 70%
20°C 17%
22°C 13%
19°C 3%
$14,021 KL.
$14,021 KL.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
17%
21°C
70%
22°C
13%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 70%
20°C 17%
22°C 13%
19°C 3%
$14,021 KL.
$14,021 KL.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
17%
21°C
70%
22°C
13%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and other models indicate a daytime high in Moscow of 19–22°C on August 29, 2026, under variable cloudiness, light rain chances, and light southeasterly winds near 755–756 mmHg pressure. This aligns closely with the late-August climatological norm of roughly 20°C and recent model runs showing no major anomalies or rapid warming. Trader consensus heavily favors 21°C (69.5% implied probability) as the most likely peak, followed by 20°C, reflecting the tight range of official guidance and limited upside potential from current steering patterns and moisture. Minor probabilities on 22°C or lower values account for forecast uncertainty and local microclimate variations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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