Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models project a high near 91°F in Miami on August 28 under mostly sunny conditions with a 30-50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Easterly winds of 5-10 mph, dew points near 75-80°F, and typical sea-breeze effects create tight uncertainty around the peak reading, splitting market-implied odds nearly evenly between the 90-91°F and 92-93°F outcomes. Afternoon convection timing and any slight model spread in maximum temperatures differentiate these leading bins, while historical late-August averages near 90°F and low odds for extremes above 94°F reflect the stable subtropical pattern with no major systems altering the outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on August 28?
92-93°F 47%
90-91°F 45%
88-89°F 5%
94-95°F 3%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
47%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 47%
90-91°F 45%
88-89°F 5%
94-95°F 3%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
45%
92-93°F
47%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models project a high near 91°F in Miami on August 28 under mostly sunny conditions with a 30-50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Easterly winds of 5-10 mph, dew points near 75-80°F, and typical sea-breeze effects create tight uncertainty around the peak reading, splitting market-implied odds nearly evenly between the 90-91°F and 92-93°F outcomes. Afternoon convection timing and any slight model spread in maximum temperatures differentiate these leading bins, while historical late-August averages near 90°F and low odds for extremes above 94°F reflect the stable subtropical pattern with no major systems altering the outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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