Market-implied odds currently favor a 31°C high (45% probability) followed by 32°C (35%), reflecting consensus from Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models showing partly cloudy conditions with daytime maxima near 30–31°C on August 29. Persistent El Niño-driven suppression of monsoon activity has produced the lowest seasonal rainfall in nearly three decades, yielding drier air masses and westerly winds that limit cloud cover enough for modest warming yet maintain high humidity to cap peaks below historical August averages. Model agreement on steering patterns and minimal precipitation supports these central outcomes, with limited scope for 33°C+ absent unexpected clear-sky intensification. Final PMD observations will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on August 29?
31°C 45%
32°C 35%
30°C 18%
33°C 4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
18%
31°C
45%
32°C
35%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
32°C 35%
30°C 18%
33°C 4%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
18%
31°C
45%
32°C
35%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds currently favor a 31°C high (45% probability) followed by 32°C (35%), reflecting consensus from Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models showing partly cloudy conditions with daytime maxima near 30–31°C on August 29. Persistent El Niño-driven suppression of monsoon activity has produced the lowest seasonal rainfall in nearly three decades, yielding drier air masses and westerly winds that limit cloud cover enough for modest warming yet maintain high humidity to cap peaks below historical August averages. Model agreement on steering patterns and minimal precipitation supports these central outcomes, with limited scope for 33°C+ absent unexpected clear-sky intensification. Final PMD observations will resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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