Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover and high precipitation chances (70-90%) for Guangzhou on August 30, driven by active monsoon patterns and potential tropical influences, which suppress daytime heating and point to a maximum near 30-32°C rather than the climatological 33°C average. This uncertainty between 30°C and 32°C stems from variations in rainfall timing and intensity across ensembles, with stronger storms favoring the lower end by limiting insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these outcomes, reflecting consensus on moisture-laden conditions overriding typical late-summer warmth while acknowledging that any forecast shift toward clearer skies could push readings higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
31°C 30%
30°C 24%
32°C 22%
29°C 8.9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
24%
31°C
30%
32°C
22%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 30%
30°C 24%
32°C 22%
29°C 8.9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
27°C or below
$50 KL.
1%
28°C
$440 KL.
1%
29°C
$379 KL.
9%
30°C
$971 KL.
24%
31°C
$258 KL.
30%
32°C
$356 KL.
22%
33°C
$315 KL.
9%
34°C
$347 KL.
4%
35°C
$561 KL.
3%
36°C
$83 KL.
1%
37°C or higher
$206 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover and high precipitation chances (70-90%) for Guangzhou on August 30, driven by active monsoon patterns and potential tropical influences, which suppress daytime heating and point to a maximum near 30-32°C rather than the climatological 33°C average. This uncertainty between 30°C and 32°C stems from variations in rainfall timing and intensity across ensembles, with stronger storms favoring the lower end by limiting insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these outcomes, reflecting consensus on moisture-laden conditions overriding typical late-summer warmth while acknowledging that any forecast shift toward clearer skies could push readings higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,966Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover and high precipitation chances (70-90%) for Guangzhou on August 30, driven by active monsoon patterns and potential tropical influences, which suppress daytime heating and point to a maximum near 30-32°C rather than the climatological 33°C average. This uncertainty between 30°C and 32°C stems from variations in rainfall timing and intensity across ensembles, with stronger storms favoring the lower end by limiting insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these outcomes, reflecting consensus on moisture-laden conditions overriding typical late-summer warmth while acknowledging that any forecast shift toward clearer skies could push readings higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,966Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover and high precipitation chances (70-90%) for Guangzhou on August 30, driven by active monsoon patterns and potential tropical influences, which suppress daytime heating and point to a maximum near 30-32°C rather than the climatological 33°C average. This uncertainty between 30°C and 32°C stems from variations in rainfall timing and intensity across ensembles, with stronger storms favoring the lower end by limiting insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these outcomes, reflecting consensus on moisture-laden conditions overriding typical late-summer warmth while acknowledging that any forecast shift toward clearer skies could push readings higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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