Latest National Weather Service guidance places Chicago's August 30 high near 87°F under partly sunny skies with south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph and gusts to 25 mph. This southerly flow advects warmer air while enhanced mixing limits extreme surface heating and partial cloud cover reduces solar insolation relative to clear conditions. The forecast exceeds the 1991-2020 climatological average of 81°F, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 84-87°F bins. Key variables differentiating outcomes include morning cloud trends, any midday convective development that could cap temperatures a degree or two lower, and precise wind-driven boundary-layer mixing ahead of resolution against official Chicago O'Hare observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on August 30?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 30?
84-85°F 32%
86-87°F 26%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 32%
86-87°F 26%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
77°F or below
$127 KL.
<1%
78-79°F
$149 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$307 KL.
4%
82-83°F
$391 KL.
19%
84-85°F
$142 KL.
32%
86-87°F
$263 KL.
26%
88-89°F
$1,024 KL.
15%
90-91°F
$237 KL.
5%
92-93°F
$52 KL.
3%
94-95°F
$137 KL.
<1%
96°F or higher
$353 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance places Chicago's August 30 high near 87°F under partly sunny skies with south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph and gusts to 25 mph. This southerly flow advects warmer air while enhanced mixing limits extreme surface heating and partial cloud cover reduces solar insolation relative to clear conditions. The forecast exceeds the 1991-2020 climatological average of 81°F, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 84-87°F bins. Key variables differentiating outcomes include morning cloud trends, any midday convective development that could cap temperatures a degree or two lower, and precise wind-driven boundary-layer mixing ahead of resolution against official Chicago O'Hare observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,182Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance places Chicago's August 30 high near 87°F under partly sunny skies with south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph and gusts to 25 mph. This southerly flow advects warmer air while enhanced mixing limits extreme surface heating and partial cloud cover reduces solar insolation relative to clear conditions. The forecast exceeds the 1991-2020 climatological average of 81°F, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 84-87°F bins. Key variables differentiating outcomes include morning cloud trends, any midday convective development that could cap temperatures a degree or two lower, and precise wind-driven boundary-layer mixing ahead of resolution against official Chicago O'Hare observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,182Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance places Chicago's August 30 high near 87°F under partly sunny skies with south-southwest winds of 10-15 mph and gusts to 25 mph. This southerly flow advects warmer air while enhanced mixing limits extreme surface heating and partial cloud cover reduces solar insolation relative to clear conditions. The forecast exceeds the 1991-2020 climatological average of 81°F, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 84-87°F bins. Key variables differentiating outcomes include morning cloud trends, any midday convective development that could cap temperatures a degree or two lower, and precise wind-driven boundary-layer mixing ahead of resolution against official Chicago O'Hare observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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