Recent heavy rainfall and associated cooling through August 28 have cleared for mostly sunny skies over Beijing on the 29th, supporting a rebound toward seasonal late-summer maxima near 30–32 °C. Official guidance and ensemble models show light westerly winds, reduced cloud cover, and typical August insolation favoring peak readings in this narrow band, with urban heat-island effects adding a small positive bias. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32 °C because ensemble spread remains modest yet sufficient to differentiate exact daily maxima; later model runs or CMA updates on boundary-layer mixing could shift probabilities within this range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
31°C 32%
30°C 23%
32°C 22%
29°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
13%
30°C
23%
31°C
32%
32°C
22%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 32%
30°C 23%
32°C 22%
29°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
13%
30°C
23%
31°C
32%
32°C
22%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and associated cooling through August 28 have cleared for mostly sunny skies over Beijing on the 29th, supporting a rebound toward seasonal late-summer maxima near 30–32 °C. Official guidance and ensemble models show light westerly winds, reduced cloud cover, and typical August insolation favoring peak readings in this narrow band, with urban heat-island effects adding a small positive bias. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32 °C because ensemble spread remains modest yet sufficient to differentiate exact daily maxima; later model runs or CMA updates on boundary-layer mixing could shift probabilities within this range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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