Recent KMA forecasts and supporting models indicate a high near 30°C for Incheon on August 27 under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light westerly flow and possible drizzle, limiting daytime heating compared to clearer prior days. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where seasonal highs average around 29–30°C amid lingering monsoon moisture and elevated humidity that suppresses maximum temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering between 29–31°C, while any brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40% implied probability on 30°C and combined 69.5% on 29–31°C, tracks these official outlooks and the absence of stronger ridging or subsidence that would push extremes higher. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 27?
30°C 40%
31°C 30%
29°C 20%
28°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
20%
30°C
40%
31°C
30%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 40%
31°C 30%
29°C 20%
28°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
20%
30°C
40%
31°C
30%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA forecasts and supporting models indicate a high near 30°C for Incheon on August 27 under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light westerly flow and possible drizzle, limiting daytime heating compared to clearer prior days. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where seasonal highs average around 29–30°C amid lingering monsoon moisture and elevated humidity that suppresses maximum temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering between 29–31°C, while any brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40% implied probability on 30°C and combined 69.5% on 29–31°C, tracks these official outlooks and the absence of stronger ridging or subsidence that would push extremes higher. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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