Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high of 32–33°C for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a chance of light showers and northeast winds of 4–6 levels. This aligns with late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, where typical August daily maxima average near 31°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Trader consensus favoring 32°C (58.5% implied probability) reflects model agreement on modest cooling from scattered precipitation, while the smaller shares for 31°C and 33°C capture uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized clearing. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 27?
32°C 59%
31°C 26%
33°C 14%
30°C 3%
$11,895 KL.
$11,895 KL.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
26%
32°C
59%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
31°C 26%
33°C 14%
30°C 3%
$11,895 KL.
$11,895 KL.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
26%
32°C
59%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high of 32–33°C for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, under partly cloudy to overcast skies with a chance of light showers and northeast winds of 4–6 levels. This aligns with late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, where typical August daily maxima average near 31°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Trader consensus favoring 32°C (58.5% implied probability) reflects model agreement on modest cooling from scattered precipitation, while the smaller shares for 31°C and 33°C capture uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized clearing. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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