**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daytime maximum of 15–17°C in Cape Town on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around 16°C.** Late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds off the cool Benguela Current, and a modest chance of drizzle, are suppressing surface heating and keeping temperatures close to seasonal norms near 16°C. Hourly observations show readings climbing from overnight lows around 12–14°C to afternoon peaks of 16–19°C before cooling, with no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky warming to push values higher. Traders appear to be weighting the latest NHC-style regional guidance and ensemble outputs, which indicate limited upside risk beyond 17°C under these stable maritime influences.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
16°C 57%
15°C 24%
17°C 23%
18°C 6%
$19,284 KL.
$19,284 KL.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
24%
16°C
52%
17°C
23%
18°C
6%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 57%
15°C 24%
17°C 23%
18°C 6%
$19,284 KL.
$19,284 KL.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
24%
16°C
52%
17°C
23%
18°C
6%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daytime maximum of 15–17°C in Cape Town on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest trading around 16°C.** Late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds off the cool Benguela Current, and a modest chance of drizzle, are suppressing surface heating and keeping temperatures close to seasonal norms near 16°C. Hourly observations show readings climbing from overnight lows around 12–14°C to afternoon peaks of 16–19°C before cooling, with no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky warming to push values higher. Traders appear to be weighting the latest NHC-style regional guidance and ensemble outputs, which indicate limited upside risk beyond 17°C under these stable maritime influences.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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