Current short-term model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Beijing on August 29, supporting overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31°C. This setup favors a minimum temperature of 19°C, aligning with the market's near-tie between 18°C and 19°C outcomes. Preceding rainfall on August 27–28 has slightly lowered soil moisture and boundary-layer temperatures, while typical late-August climatology for the region shows nocturnal lows of 19–21°C under similar synoptic patterns. Minor forecast spreads across ensemble runs, plus urban heat-island effects, sustain tight implied probabilities around these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
16°C 47%
19°C 45%
18°C 44%
24°C or higher 43%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
13%
15°C
19%
16°C
47%
17°C
24%
18°C
44%
19°C
45%
20°C
40%
21°C
23%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
43%
16°C 47%
19°C 45%
18°C 44%
24°C or higher 43%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
$0 KL.
13%
15°C
$0 KL.
19%
16°C
$0 KL.
47%
17°C
$0 KL.
24%
18°C
$0 KL.
44%
19°C
$0 KL.
45%
20°C
$0 KL.
40%
21°C
$0 KL.
23%
22°C
$0 KL.
2%
23°C
$0 KL.
8%
24°C or higher
$0 KL.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Beijing on August 29, supporting overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31°C. This setup favors a minimum temperature of 19°C, aligning with the market's near-tie between 18°C and 19°C outcomes. Preceding rainfall on August 27–28 has slightly lowered soil moisture and boundary-layer temperatures, while typical late-August climatology for the region shows nocturnal lows of 19–21°C under similar synoptic patterns. Minor forecast spreads across ensemble runs, plus urban heat-island effects, sustain tight implied probabilities around these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Beijing on August 29, supporting overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31°C. This setup favors a minimum temperature of 19°C, aligning with the market's near-tie between 18°C and 19°C outcomes. Preceding rainfall on August 27–28 has slightly lowered soil moisture and boundary-layer temperatures, while typical late-August climatology for the region shows nocturnal lows of 19–21°C under similar synoptic patterns. Minor forecast spreads across ensemble runs, plus urban heat-island effects, sustain tight implied probabilities around these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to clear skies and light northwesterly winds over Beijing on August 29, supporting overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31°C. This setup favors a minimum temperature of 19°C, aligning with the market's near-tie between 18°C and 19°C outcomes. Preceding rainfall on August 27–28 has slightly lowered soil moisture and boundary-layer temperatures, while typical late-August climatology for the region shows nocturnal lows of 19–21°C under similar synoptic patterns. Minor forecast spreads across ensemble runs, plus urban heat-island effects, sustain tight implied probabilities around these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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