Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies show an incoming weather system bringing mid-level rain and strengthened northerly winds to Wuhan on August 29, lowering overnight minimum temperatures from the prior 27–29 °C range. Model consensus points to a nighttime low near 24–26 °C amid 50–80 % precipitation probability and increased cloud cover, which limits radiational cooling yet enhances evaporative effects. This shift aligns with the typhoon-related peripheral flow expected to moderate the heat dome that dominated late August. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 24–26 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest, though timing of heaviest rain and exact wind speeds introduce residual uncertainty resolvable by updated model runs within 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
32°C or higher 49%
24°C 44%
25°C 44%
26°C 44%
22°C or below
27%
23°C
10%
24°C
44%
25°C
44%
26°C
44%
27°C
27%
28°C
43%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
49%
32°C or higher 49%
24°C 44%
25°C 44%
26°C 44%
22°C or below
27%
23°C
10%
24°C
44%
25°C
44%
26°C
44%
27°C
27%
28°C
43%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies show an incoming weather system bringing mid-level rain and strengthened northerly winds to Wuhan on August 29, lowering overnight minimum temperatures from the prior 27–29 °C range. Model consensus points to a nighttime low near 24–26 °C amid 50–80 % precipitation probability and increased cloud cover, which limits radiational cooling yet enhances evaporative effects. This shift aligns with the typhoon-related peripheral flow expected to moderate the heat dome that dominated late August. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 24–26 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest, though timing of heaviest rain and exact wind speeds introduce residual uncertainty resolvable by updated model runs within 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp