Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai's overnight minimum temperature on August 29 stabilizing near 27°C, driven by persistent high humidity with dew points around 25–26°C, extensive cloud cover, and light southeast winds limiting radiative cooling. Recent light rain and drizzle have maintained elevated moisture levels, consistent with late-summer monsoon patterns that suppress sharp temperature drops. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 50% implied probability, followed by 28°C, as traders weigh stable atmospheric conditions against minor model variations in cloud timing or wind shifts. Final official observations will resolve the market within resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
27°C 52%
28°C 28%
25°C 5%
26°C 4%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
11%
27°C
52%
28°C
28%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 28%
25°C 5%
26°C 4%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
11%
27°C
52%
28°C
28%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai's overnight minimum temperature on August 29 stabilizing near 27°C, driven by persistent high humidity with dew points around 25–26°C, extensive cloud cover, and light southeast winds limiting radiative cooling. Recent light rain and drizzle have maintained elevated moisture levels, consistent with late-summer monsoon patterns that suppress sharp temperature drops. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 50% implied probability, followed by 28°C, as traders weigh stable atmospheric conditions against minor model variations in cloud timing or wind shifts. Final official observations will resolve the market within resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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