Recent model runs and official guidance from Chinese meteorological authorities highlight incoming moisture from typhoon outer bands as the dominant factor moderating peak temperatures in Wuhan on August 30. This setup favors afternoon highs near 32–33 °C, with increased cloud cover, northerly winds of 10–15 km/h, and scattered to moderate rainfall limiting surface heating compared with the preceding days of 36–38 °C conditions. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture are well resolved at short range, yet small differences in rainfall timing or intensity could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because traders weigh the balance between residual heat advection and evaporative cooling from precipitation, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
32°C 34%
33°C 31%
31°C 15%
34°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
15%
32°C
34%
33°C
31%
34°C
12%
35°C or higher
5%
32°C 34%
33°C 31%
31°C 15%
34°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
25°C or below
$50 KL.
<1%
26°C
$130 KL.
<1%
27°C
$130 KL.
<1%
28°C
$10 KL.
1%
29°C
$0 KL.
3%
30°C
$0 KL.
6%
31°C
$4 KL.
15%
32°C
$4 KL.
34%
33°C
$45 KL.
31%
34°C
$212 KL.
12%
35°C or higher
$27 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and official guidance from Chinese meteorological authorities highlight incoming moisture from typhoon outer bands as the dominant factor moderating peak temperatures in Wuhan on August 30. This setup favors afternoon highs near 32–33 °C, with increased cloud cover, northerly winds of 10–15 km/h, and scattered to moderate rainfall limiting surface heating compared with the preceding days of 36–38 °C conditions. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture are well resolved at short range, yet small differences in rainfall timing or intensity could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because traders weigh the balance between residual heat advection and evaporative cooling from precipitation, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$611Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and official guidance from Chinese meteorological authorities highlight incoming moisture from typhoon outer bands as the dominant factor moderating peak temperatures in Wuhan on August 30. This setup favors afternoon highs near 32–33 °C, with increased cloud cover, northerly winds of 10–15 km/h, and scattered to moderate rainfall limiting surface heating compared with the preceding days of 36–38 °C conditions. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture are well resolved at short range, yet small differences in rainfall timing or intensity could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because traders weigh the balance between residual heat advection and evaporative cooling from precipitation, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$611Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs and official guidance from Chinese meteorological authorities highlight incoming moisture from typhoon outer bands as the dominant factor moderating peak temperatures in Wuhan on August 30. This setup favors afternoon highs near 32–33 °C, with increased cloud cover, northerly winds of 10–15 km/h, and scattered to moderate rainfall limiting surface heating compared with the preceding days of 36–38 °C conditions. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture are well resolved at short range, yet small differences in rainfall timing or intensity could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because traders weigh the balance between residual heat advection and evaporative cooling from precipitation, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour maximum recorded at official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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