Recent forecast updates from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate light rain and increased cloud cover arriving over Warsaw on August 29, which should limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 22–24 °C. Afternoon temperatures are projected to peak in the low-to-mid 20s under mostly cloudy skies and southwesterly flow, with precipitation amounts remaining modest. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22 °C and 23 °C reflects model spread in the exact timing and coverage of clouds versus any brief clearing, while higher outcomes above 24 °C remain low-probability given the expected moisture and reduced insolation. Historical late-August averages for the city hover near 21–22 °C, providing a climatological baseline against which current guidance sits slightly above.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 29?
22°C 28%
23°C 27%
21°C 16%
24°C 13%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
16%
22°C
28%
23°C
27%
24°C
13%
25°C or higher
3%
22°C 28%
23°C 27%
21°C 16%
24°C 13%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
16%
22°C
28%
23°C
27%
24°C
13%
25°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate light rain and increased cloud cover arriving over Warsaw on August 29, which should limit solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 22–24 °C. Afternoon temperatures are projected to peak in the low-to-mid 20s under mostly cloudy skies and southwesterly flow, with precipitation amounts remaining modest. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 22 °C and 23 °C reflects model spread in the exact timing and coverage of clouds versus any brief clearing, while higher outcomes above 24 °C remain low-probability given the expected moisture and reduced insolation. Historical late-August averages for the city hover near 21–22 °C, providing a climatological baseline against which current guidance sits slightly above.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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