National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 66-68°F for San Francisco on August 30, driven by persistent upper-level troughing off the Pacific Northwest that has deepened the marine layer and produced a cooling trend several degrees below seasonal averages. West to southwest winds of 10-20 mph and morning stratus are expected to limit daytime heating, consistent with recent observations of highs in the mid-60s amid post-tropical moisture clearance. Trader sentiment clusters around 66-69°F outcomes because these align with current guidance, though modest uncertainty remains from potential marine layer fluctuations or brief clearing that could allow readings near 70°F or hold temperatures lower. Historical August 30 averages near 70°F underscore the anomalous cool pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 30?
68-69°F 32%
66-67°F 22%
70-71°F 22%
64-65°F 10%
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
32%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 32%
66-67°F 22%
70-71°F 22%
64-65°F 10%
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
32%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 10:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 66-68°F for San Francisco on August 30, driven by persistent upper-level troughing off the Pacific Northwest that has deepened the marine layer and produced a cooling trend several degrees below seasonal averages. West to southwest winds of 10-20 mph and morning stratus are expected to limit daytime heating, consistent with recent observations of highs in the mid-60s amid post-tropical moisture clearance. Trader sentiment clusters around 66-69°F outcomes because these align with current guidance, though modest uncertainty remains from potential marine layer fluctuations or brief clearing that could allow readings near 70°F or hold temperatures lower. Historical August 30 averages near 70°F underscore the anomalous cool pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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