Traders heavily favor a Dallas high of 100-101°F today, aligning with National Weather Service guidance for late-August conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge. This setup typically produces daytime maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s across North Texas, with model consensus showing limited upward revision from climatological baselines. The 24% implied probability for 102-103°F reflects minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point trends that could push readings slightly higher, while probabilities above 104°F remain low absent atypical subsidence or advection. Official observations and updated model runs will determine resolution, with historical analogs indicating such outcomes occur in roughly three-quarters of comparable late-summer days.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Dallas on August 28?
100-101°F 65%
102-103°F 32%
104-105°F 3%
106-107°F <1%
$24,689 KL.
$24,689 KL.
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
67%
102-103°F
31%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 65%
102-103°F 32%
104-105°F 3%
106-107°F <1%
$24,689 KL.
$24,689 KL.
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
67%
102-103°F
31%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor a Dallas high of 100-101°F today, aligning with National Weather Service guidance for late-August conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge. This setup typically produces daytime maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s across North Texas, with model consensus showing limited upward revision from climatological baselines. The 24% implied probability for 102-103°F reflects minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point trends that could push readings slightly higher, while probabilities above 104°F remain low absent atypical subsidence or advection. Official observations and updated model runs will determine resolution, with historical analogs indicating such outcomes occur in roughly three-quarters of comparable late-summer days.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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