Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate sunny, hot conditions for Dallas on August 30, 2026, with a projected daily maximum near 102°F under southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market's leading 100-101°F bin at 59.5% implied probability, as late-summer high-pressure dominance sustains above-average temperatures well above the 1991-2020 climatological mean of 94°F. Heat index values may reach 105-107°F amid dew points in the upper 60s, though dry air and light winds limit further intensification. Low rain chances and consistent model runs through the weekend reinforce trader consensus around the low-100s range ahead of official NWS verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Dallas on August 30?
100-101°F 60%
98-99°F 18%
102-103°F 16%
96-97°F 7%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
18%
100-101°F
60%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
5%
108-109°F
4%
110°F or higher
4%
100-101°F 60%
98-99°F 18%
102-103°F 16%
96-97°F 7%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
18%
100-101°F
60%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
5%
108-109°F
4%
110°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate sunny, hot conditions for Dallas on August 30, 2026, with a projected daily maximum near 102°F under southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market's leading 100-101°F bin at 59.5% implied probability, as late-summer high-pressure dominance sustains above-average temperatures well above the 1991-2020 climatological mean of 94°F. Heat index values may reach 105-107°F amid dew points in the upper 60s, though dry air and light winds limit further intensification. Low rain chances and consistent model runs through the weekend reinforce trader consensus around the low-100s range ahead of official NWS verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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