Official Environment Canada forecasts, issued the prior evening and consistent into August 28 morning observations, call for a Toronto high of 23 °C under mainly sunny skies transitioning to a mix of sun and cloud, with northerly winds near 20 km/h and humidex values around 25 °C. This consensus from the National Weather Service equivalent, combined with a cool overnight low near 15 °C and stable high-pressure influence, underpins the market’s strong 65.5% implied probability for 23 °C. Nearby model spreads allow modest probability mass on 22 °C and 24 °C, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges in late-summer boundary-layer mixing and minor steering variations. Traders appear to weigh official guidance heavily ahead of the day’s peak temperature readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Toronto on August 28?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 28?
23°C 65%
22°C 21%
24°C 13%
25°C 3%
MỚI
$10,291 KL.
MỚI
$10,291 KL.
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
21%
23°C
65%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 65%
22°C 21%
24°C 13%
25°C 3%
MỚI
$10,291 KL.
MỚI
$10,291 KL.
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
$293 KL.
1%
21°C
$497 KL.
2%
22°C
$1,388 KL.
21%
23°C
$2,932 KL.
65%
24°C
$1,796 KL.
13%
25°C
$1,236 KL.
3%
26°C
$1,144 KL.
2%
27°C
$253 KL.
<1%
28°C
$341 KL.
<1%
29°C
$239 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$289 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Environment Canada forecasts, issued the prior evening and consistent into August 28 morning observations, call for a Toronto high of 23 °C under mainly sunny skies transitioning to a mix of sun and cloud, with northerly winds near 20 km/h and humidex values around 25 °C. This consensus from the National Weather Service equivalent, combined with a cool overnight low near 15 °C and stable high-pressure influence, underpins the market’s strong 65.5% implied probability for 23 °C. Nearby model spreads allow modest probability mass on 22 °C and 24 °C, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges in late-summer boundary-layer mixing and minor steering variations. Traders appear to weigh official guidance heavily ahead of the day’s peak temperature readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$10,291Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Environment Canada forecasts, issued the prior evening and consistent into August 28 morning observations, call for a Toronto high of 23 °C under mainly sunny skies transitioning to a mix of sun and cloud, with northerly winds near 20 km/h and humidex values around 25 °C. This consensus from the National Weather Service equivalent, combined with a cool overnight low near 15 °C and stable high-pressure influence, underpins the market’s strong 65.5% implied probability for 23 °C. Nearby model spreads allow modest probability mass on 22 °C and 24 °C, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges in late-summer boundary-layer mixing and minor steering variations. Traders appear to weigh official guidance heavily ahead of the day’s peak temperature readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,291Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Environment Canada forecasts, issued the prior evening and consistent into August 28 morning observations, call for a Toronto high of 23 °C under mainly sunny skies transitioning to a mix of sun and cloud, with northerly winds near 20 km/h and humidex values around 25 °C. This consensus from the National Weather Service equivalent, combined with a cool overnight low near 15 °C and stable high-pressure influence, underpins the market’s strong 65.5% implied probability for 23 °C. Nearby model spreads allow modest probability mass on 22 °C and 24 °C, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges in late-summer boundary-layer mixing and minor steering variations. Traders appear to weigh official guidance heavily ahead of the day’s peak temperature readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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