Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds overnight into August 29, supporting radiational cooling that positions Toronto’s daily minimum near the historical late-August average of 16.5 °C but with potential for several degrees lower under clearer conditions. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 11–14 °C because small differences in predicted cloud cover, dew-point depression near 10 °C, and wind speeds of 5–10 km/h can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C across ensemble members. Current observations near 15 °C at 1 a.m. and model spreads keep the 12–13 °C outcomes narrowly favored while assigning negligible probability to extremes below 10 °C or above 15 °C. Updated guidance expected through the morning will refine the final recorded minimum at Pearson Airport.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Toronto on August 29?
11°C 50%
13°C 27%
12°C 27%
14°C 26%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
50%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
24%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
11°C 50%
13°C 27%
12°C 27%
14°C 26%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
50%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
24%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds overnight into August 29, supporting radiational cooling that positions Toronto’s daily minimum near the historical late-August average of 16.5 °C but with potential for several degrees lower under clearer conditions. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 11–14 °C because small differences in predicted cloud cover, dew-point depression near 10 °C, and wind speeds of 5–10 km/h can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C across ensemble members. Current observations near 15 °C at 1 a.m. and model spreads keep the 12–13 °C outcomes narrowly favored while assigning negligible probability to extremes below 10 °C or above 15 °C. Updated guidance expected through the morning will refine the final recorded minimum at Pearson Airport.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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