Current forecasts for Guangzhou on August 29 point to an overnight low near 27–28 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions and elevated humidity that restricts radiative cooling. Official model guidance and recent observations show minimal overnight temperature drops, with urban heat-island effects and light winds further moderating the minimum. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–28 °C because these outcomes align with both climatological norms and the latest model consensus; lower readings would require clearer skies and stronger radiational cooling than currently expected, while higher values remain improbable absent unusual warm-air advection. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final official measurements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 29?
27°C 48%
26°C 37%
25°C 7%
24°C 3%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
37%
27°C
48%
28°C
48%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
26°C 37%
25°C 7%
24°C 3%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
37%
27°C
48%
28°C
48%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Guangzhou on August 29 point to an overnight low near 27–28 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers, consistent with late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions and elevated humidity that restricts radiative cooling. Official model guidance and recent observations show minimal overnight temperature drops, with urban heat-island effects and light winds further moderating the minimum. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–28 °C because these outcomes align with both climatological norms and the latest model consensus; lower readings would require clearer skies and stronger radiational cooling than currently expected, while higher values remain improbable absent unusual warm-air advection. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty range ahead of final official measurements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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