Miami's subtropical climate produces typical late-August overnight lows of 77-78°F based on 1991-2020 NOAA normals at Miami International Airport, with recent years recording 78-80°F on August 27. Persistent warm, humid air under southeast flow and minimal frontal activity maintained these conditions through the date, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability for 78-79°F. Historical data show rare dips to 70°F or below require unusual synoptic cooling absent here. An anomalous cold-air intrusion or station-specific measurement variance could theoretically shift results, though model consensus and current observations indicate negligible odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on August 27?
78-79°F 99%
76-77°F 5%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$6,129 KL.
$6,129 KL.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
99%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 99%
76-77°F 5%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$6,129 KL.
$6,129 KL.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
99%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Miami's subtropical climate produces typical late-August overnight lows of 77-78°F based on 1991-2020 NOAA normals at Miami International Airport, with recent years recording 78-80°F on August 27. Persistent warm, humid air under southeast flow and minimal frontal activity maintained these conditions through the date, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability for 78-79°F. Historical data show rare dips to 70°F or below require unusual synoptic cooling absent here. An anomalous cold-air intrusion or station-specific measurement variance could theoretically shift results, though model consensus and current observations indicate negligible odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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