Recent northerly airflow and a passing low-pressure system have introduced cooler maritime air to the region, driving overnight lows into the 20–22°C range per latest model consensus from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF guidance. This positions 21–22°C as the tightest cluster in trader pricing, reflecting minor model spread on wind speeds and cloud cover that modulate radiative cooling overnight. Clearer conditions favor the lower end of that band through enhanced surface heat loss, while persistent northerlies could limit drops toward 23°C; historical August minima average near 20°C, underscoring how the recent 4–6°C anomaly below norms sustains the balanced odds ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 30?
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
18°C 29%
21°C 27%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
10%
18°C
29%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
18°C 29%
21°C 27%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
10%
18°C
29%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly airflow and a passing low-pressure system have introduced cooler maritime air to the region, driving overnight lows into the 20–22°C range per latest model consensus from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF guidance. This positions 21–22°C as the tightest cluster in trader pricing, reflecting minor model spread on wind speeds and cloud cover that modulate radiative cooling overnight. Clearer conditions favor the lower end of that band through enhanced surface heat loss, while persistent northerlies could limit drops toward 23°C; historical August minima average near 20°C, underscoring how the recent 4–6°C anomaly below norms sustains the balanced odds ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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