Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models points to a mild overnight period for Toronto on August 31, with the daily minimum expected near 19–20 °C amid a mix of sun and cloud, 30–40 % shower chances, and light easterly to southeasterly flow. This pattern, sustained by above-average warmth and humidity through the final weekend of August, has elevated the implied probability for a minimum of 23 °C or higher while compressing odds on colder outcomes such as 13 °C or below. Historical climatology shows a normal low near 16 °C, so the current consensus reflects a warmer-than-average regime that traders are weighting heavily. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow ahead of the date remain the key variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Toronto on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 31?
23°C or higher 94%
13°C or below 59%
16°C 48%
22°C 48%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
13°C or below
59%
14°C
18%
15°C
43%
16°C
48%
17°C
32%
18°C
24%
19°C
27%
20°C
23%
21°C
37%
22°C
48%
23°C or higher
94%
23°C or higher 94%
13°C or below 59%
16°C 48%
22°C 48%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
13°C or below
$0 KL.
59%
14°C
$0 KL.
18%
15°C
$0 KL.
43%
16°C
$0 KL.
48%
17°C
$0 KL.
32%
18°C
$0 KL.
24%
19°C
$0 KL.
27%
20°C
$0 KL.
23%
21°C
$0 KL.
37%
22°C
$0 KL.
48%
23°C or higher
$0 KL.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models points to a mild overnight period for Toronto on August 31, with the daily minimum expected near 19–20 °C amid a mix of sun and cloud, 30–40 % shower chances, and light easterly to southeasterly flow. This pattern, sustained by above-average warmth and humidity through the final weekend of August, has elevated the implied probability for a minimum of 23 °C or higher while compressing odds on colder outcomes such as 13 °C or below. Historical climatology shows a normal low near 16 °C, so the current consensus reflects a warmer-than-average regime that traders are weighting heavily. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow ahead of the date remain the key variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models points to a mild overnight period for Toronto on August 31, with the daily minimum expected near 19–20 °C amid a mix of sun and cloud, 30–40 % shower chances, and light easterly to southeasterly flow. This pattern, sustained by above-average warmth and humidity through the final weekend of August, has elevated the implied probability for a minimum of 23 °C or higher while compressing odds on colder outcomes such as 13 °C or below. Historical climatology shows a normal low near 16 °C, so the current consensus reflects a warmer-than-average regime that traders are weighting heavily. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow ahead of the date remain the key variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models points to a mild overnight period for Toronto on August 31, with the daily minimum expected near 19–20 °C amid a mix of sun and cloud, 30–40 % shower chances, and light easterly to southeasterly flow. This pattern, sustained by above-average warmth and humidity through the final weekend of August, has elevated the implied probability for a minimum of 23 °C or higher while compressing odds on colder outcomes such as 13 °C or below. Historical climatology shows a normal low near 16 °C, so the current consensus reflects a warmer-than-average regime that traders are weighting heavily. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow ahead of the date remain the key variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp