Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across Luzon is the main driver, delivering widespread cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs point to an overnight minimum in the 24–27°C range, with 24–26°C favored due to expected moderate-to-heavy rain and fresh southwesterly winds that enhance mixing and evaporative cooling. Subtle differences among forecasts arise from variations in exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. These scientific uncertainties, combined with the short time to resolution on August 30, produce the closely matched market-implied odds clustered around 24–26°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Manila on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 30?
24°C 50%
30°C 49%
22°C 48%
29°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
48%
23°C
25%
24°C
28%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
40%
30°C
49%
31°C or higher
2%
24°C 50%
30°C 49%
22°C 48%
29°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$151 KL.
1%
22°C
$16 KL.
48%
23°C
$0 KL.
25%
24°C
$6 KL.
28%
25°C
$0 KL.
26%
26°C
$0 KL.
28%
27°C
$0 KL.
26%
28°C
$0 KL.
26%
29°C
$20 KL.
40%
30°C
$135 KL.
49%
31°C or higher
$5 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across Luzon is the main driver, delivering widespread cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs point to an overnight minimum in the 24–27°C range, with 24–26°C favored due to expected moderate-to-heavy rain and fresh southwesterly winds that enhance mixing and evaporative cooling. Subtle differences among forecasts arise from variations in exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. These scientific uncertainties, combined with the short time to resolution on August 30, produce the closely matched market-implied odds clustered around 24–26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Khối lượng
$333Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across Luzon is the main driver, delivering widespread cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs point to an overnight minimum in the 24–27°C range, with 24–26°C favored due to expected moderate-to-heavy rain and fresh southwesterly winds that enhance mixing and evaporative cooling. Subtle differences among forecasts arise from variations in exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. These scientific uncertainties, combined with the short time to resolution on August 30, produce the closely matched market-implied odds clustered around 24–26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$333Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity across Luzon is the main driver, delivering widespread cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs point to an overnight minimum in the 24–27°C range, with 24–26°C favored due to expected moderate-to-heavy rain and fresh southwesterly winds that enhance mixing and evaporative cooling. Subtle differences among forecasts arise from variations in exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. These scientific uncertainties, combined with the short time to resolution on August 30, produce the closely matched market-implied odds clustered around 24–26°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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