Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity, including an active low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, continues to deliver widespread cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity across Metro Manila, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 25–27°C on August 29. Official PAGASA observations and multiple forecast models (GFS, Met Office) show overnight lows holding around 26°C amid 90–100% rain chances and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds, consistent with typical late-August climatology where monsoon-enhanced moisture prevents drops below 24°C. This setup favors the market’s leading 31°C-or-higher and mid-20s outcomes while keeping probabilities for 23°C or below very low. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through the evening of August 28 remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Manila on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 29?
31°C or higher 86%
28°C 50%
29°C 42%
26°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
12%
22°C
4%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
50%
29°C
42%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
86%
31°C or higher 86%
28°C 50%
29°C 42%
26°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$135 KL.
12%
22°C
$54 KL.
4%
23°C
$34 KL.
26%
24°C
$0 KL.
27%
25°C
$0 KL.
27%
26°C
$0 KL.
27%
27°C
$0 KL.
27%
28°C
$5 KL.
50%
29°C
$145 KL.
42%
30°C
$5 KL.
2%
31°C or higher
$5 KL.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity, including an active low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, continues to deliver widespread cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity across Metro Manila, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 25–27°C on August 29. Official PAGASA observations and multiple forecast models (GFS, Met Office) show overnight lows holding around 26°C amid 90–100% rain chances and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds, consistent with typical late-August climatology where monsoon-enhanced moisture prevents drops below 24°C. This setup favors the market’s leading 31°C-or-higher and mid-20s outcomes while keeping probabilities for 23°C or below very low. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through the evening of August 28 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Khối lượng
$383Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity, including an active low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, continues to deliver widespread cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity across Metro Manila, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 25–27°C on August 29. Official PAGASA observations and multiple forecast models (GFS, Met Office) show overnight lows holding around 26°C amid 90–100% rain chances and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds, consistent with typical late-August climatology where monsoon-enhanced moisture prevents drops below 24°C. This setup favors the market’s leading 31°C-or-higher and mid-20s outcomes while keeping probabilities for 23°C or below very low. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through the evening of August 28 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$383Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity, including an active low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, continues to deliver widespread cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity across Metro Manila, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 25–27°C on August 29. Official PAGASA observations and multiple forecast models (GFS, Met Office) show overnight lows holding around 26°C amid 90–100% rain chances and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds, consistent with typical late-August climatology where monsoon-enhanced moisture prevents drops below 24°C. This setup favors the market’s leading 31°C-or-higher and mid-20s outcomes while keeping probabilities for 23°C or below very low. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through the evening of August 28 remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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