Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts points to an overnight low near 22–23°C in Qingdao on August 30, driven by a shift to persistent northerly winds that advect cooler, drier air from the north after the subtropical high's influence wanes. Coastal marine moderation and increased cloud cover limit radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise support lower readings. This positions 22°C as the market leader at 41% implied probability, with 19°C or below reflecting residual uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized effects. Historical August minima average around 22°C, and the current pattern aligns with progressive cooling noted since August 29.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
25°C 50%
27°C 44%
28°C 44%
22°C 41%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
31%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
41%
23°C
28%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C
12%
27°C
44%
28°C
44%
29°C or higher
5%
25°C 50%
27°C 44%
28°C 44%
22°C 41%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
$6 KL.
31%
20°C
$49 KL.
26%
21°C
$54 KL.
26%
22°C
$0 KL.
41%
23°C
$0 KL.
28%
24°C
$0 KL.
26%
25°C
$78 KL.
50%
26°C
$20 KL.
12%
27°C
$5 KL.
44%
28°C
$5 KL.
44%
29°C or higher
$145 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts points to an overnight low near 22–23°C in Qingdao on August 30, driven by a shift to persistent northerly winds that advect cooler, drier air from the north after the subtropical high's influence wanes. Coastal marine moderation and increased cloud cover limit radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise support lower readings. This positions 22°C as the market leader at 41% implied probability, with 19°C or below reflecting residual uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized effects. Historical August minima average around 22°C, and the current pattern aligns with progressive cooling noted since August 29.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$362Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts points to an overnight low near 22–23°C in Qingdao on August 30, driven by a shift to persistent northerly winds that advect cooler, drier air from the north after the subtropical high's influence wanes. Coastal marine moderation and increased cloud cover limit radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise support lower readings. This positions 22°C as the market leader at 41% implied probability, with 19°C or below reflecting residual uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized effects. Historical August minima average around 22°C, and the current pattern aligns with progressive cooling noted since August 29.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$362Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasts points to an overnight low near 22–23°C in Qingdao on August 30, driven by a shift to persistent northerly winds that advect cooler, drier air from the north after the subtropical high's influence wanes. Coastal marine moderation and increased cloud cover limit radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise support lower readings. This positions 22°C as the market leader at 41% implied probability, with 19°C or below reflecting residual uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized effects. Historical August minima average around 22°C, and the current pattern aligns with progressive cooling noted since August 29.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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