Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and other models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 29 will likely settle near 9–13°C under variable cloud cover, light southerly winds of 3–8 m/s, and elevated pressure near 1026 hPa that favors modest radiational cooling. Dew points around 8–10°C limit further drops, while urban heat effects and any patchy clearing introduce narrow uncertainty in the precise minimum. With leading market outcomes clustered tightly at 10–12°C, traders weigh these factors against historical late-August baselines near 14°C and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations through the night remain key drivers of any final shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
10°C 43%
11°C 43%
9°C 6%
8°C <1%
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
43%
11°C
43%
12°C
43%
13°C or higher
<1%
10°C 43%
11°C 43%
9°C 6%
8°C <1%
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
43%
11°C
43%
12°C
43%
13°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and other models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 29 will likely settle near 9–13°C under variable cloud cover, light southerly winds of 3–8 m/s, and elevated pressure near 1026 hPa that favors modest radiational cooling. Dew points around 8–10°C limit further drops, while urban heat effects and any patchy clearing introduce narrow uncertainty in the precise minimum. With leading market outcomes clustered tightly at 10–12°C, traders weigh these factors against historical late-August baselines near 14°C and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations through the night remain key drivers of any final shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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