Recent forecasts from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate overnight lows in Moscow on August 31 likely ranging 10–15°C under variable cloud cover and light winds, with daytime highs near 20–23°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 10–13°C because numerical models show limited spread in boundary-layer cooling, driven by uncertainties in cloud thickness and timing that modulate longwave radiative loss. Clearer periods enhance surface cooling toward 10–11°C, while increased low-level moisture or light precipitation from southwesterly flow could limit drops to 13–16°C via higher dew points. Urban heat island effects and model resolution of local inversions add further variability, keeping probabilities closely matched until updated model runs or observations narrow the range ahead of resolution.