Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional place the day’s maximum between 22–24 °C under widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, conditions that reduce incoming solar radiation and surface heating at Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation. Multiple numerical weather models align on this narrow range, with afternoon peaks near 23 °C most frequently cited, while persistent moisture and light easterly winds further moderate temperatures. Historical climatology for late August shows similar values, reinforcing the narrow distribution of market-implied probabilities around 22–24 °C. Updated model runs and official bulletins released this morning continue to emphasize rain chances above 50 %, limiting upside potential beyond 24 °C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 29?
23°C 52%
22°C 27%
24°C 17%
21°C 3%
$8,172 KL.
$8,172 KL.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
27%
23°C
52%
24°C
17%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 52%
22°C 27%
24°C 17%
21°C 3%
$8,172 KL.
$8,172 KL.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
27%
23°C
52%
24°C
17%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional place the day’s maximum between 22–24 °C under widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, conditions that reduce incoming solar radiation and surface heating at Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation. Multiple numerical weather models align on this narrow range, with afternoon peaks near 23 °C most frequently cited, while persistent moisture and light easterly winds further moderate temperatures. Historical climatology for late August shows similar values, reinforcing the narrow distribution of market-implied probabilities around 22–24 °C. Updated model runs and official bulletins released this morning continue to emphasize rain chances above 50 %, limiting upside potential beyond 24 °C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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