Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh are moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow, with official India Meteorological Department guidance indicating a partly cloudy to mainly clear transition and possible isolated rain or thundershowers on August 29. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered between 32°C and 33°C. Recent observed highs near 34°C reflect brief clearer intervals, yet forecast model consensus and historical August norms around 31–32°C support the current balance. Stronger surface winds and any additional convective development could further cap the peak, while a rapid clearing would favor the lower-probability 34°C outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
32°C 35%
33°C 33%
34°C 14%
31°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
13%
32°C
35%
33°C
33%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
4%
32°C 35%
33°C 33%
34°C 14%
31°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
13%
32°C
35%
33°C
33%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh are moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow, with official India Meteorological Department guidance indicating a partly cloudy to mainly clear transition and possible isolated rain or thundershowers on August 29. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered between 32°C and 33°C. Recent observed highs near 34°C reflect brief clearer intervals, yet forecast model consensus and historical August norms around 31–32°C support the current balance. Stronger surface winds and any additional convective development could further cap the peak, while a rapid clearing would favor the lower-probability 34°C outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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