Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate active monsoon conditions over Lucknow, with generally cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and light to moderate rainfall expected on August 30, limiting daytime heating and supporting maximum temperatures near 31–33°C. These outcomes align with trader consensus, as persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation compared to clearer monsoon breaks that have allowed recent peaks of 34–35°C. Historical August averages around 33–34°C provide context, but current model runs emphasize steering patterns favoring instability and moisture, keeping values from exceeding 33°C or dropping below 31°C without a significant shift in synoptic flow. Updated official guidance on August 29–30 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 30?
32°C 45%
33°C or higher 28%
31°C 21%
30°C 5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
21%
32°C
45%
33°C or higher
28%
32°C 45%
33°C or higher 28%
31°C 21%
30°C 5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
21%
32°C
45%
33°C or higher
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate active monsoon conditions over Lucknow, with generally cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and light to moderate rainfall expected on August 30, limiting daytime heating and supporting maximum temperatures near 31–33°C. These outcomes align with trader consensus, as persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation compared to clearer monsoon breaks that have allowed recent peaks of 34–35°C. Historical August averages around 33–34°C provide context, but current model runs emphasize steering patterns favoring instability and moisture, keeping values from exceeding 33°C or dropping below 31°C without a significant shift in synoptic flow. Updated official guidance on August 29–30 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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