Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional anticipated overnight lows near 12–14°C under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers typical of Mexico City’s late wet season, limiting radiational cooling at the high-elevation site. Official station data, particularly from the international airport and central observatories, appear to have settled near the 13–14°C range, producing the near-even split in market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Historical August minima average around 11–13°C, but elevated humidity and cloudiness this week reduced the chance of sharper drops below 12°C, keeping lower-probability outcomes thinly traded. Final resolution will hinge on the precise 24-hour minimum reported by CONAGUA or equivalent verified records.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 29?
13°C 46%
11°C 4%
12°C 3%
16°C 1.0%
$997 KL.
$997 KL.
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
3%
13°C
46%
14°C
54%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 46%
11°C 4%
12°C 3%
16°C 1.0%
$997 KL.
$997 KL.
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
$175 KL.
1%
10°C
$84 KL.
1%
11°C
$49 KL.
4%
12°C
$17 KL.
3%
13°C
$0 KL.
46%
14°C
$65 KL.
54%
15°C
$314 KL.
1%
16°C
$112 KL.
1%
17°C
$84 KL.
<1%
18°C
$30 KL.
<1%
19°C or higher
$67 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional anticipated overnight lows near 12–14°C under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers typical of Mexico City’s late wet season, limiting radiational cooling at the high-elevation site. Official station data, particularly from the international airport and central observatories, appear to have settled near the 13–14°C range, producing the near-even split in market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Historical August minima average around 11–13°C, but elevated humidity and cloudiness this week reduced the chance of sharper drops below 12°C, keeping lower-probability outcomes thinly traded. Final resolution will hinge on the precise 24-hour minimum reported by CONAGUA or equivalent verified records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$997Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional anticipated overnight lows near 12–14°C under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers typical of Mexico City’s late wet season, limiting radiational cooling at the high-elevation site. Official station data, particularly from the international airport and central observatories, appear to have settled near the 13–14°C range, producing the near-even split in market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Historical August minima average around 11–13°C, but elevated humidity and cloudiness this week reduced the chance of sharper drops below 12°C, keeping lower-probability outcomes thinly traded. Final resolution will hinge on the precise 24-hour minimum reported by CONAGUA or equivalent verified records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$997Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional anticipated overnight lows near 12–14°C under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and scattered showers typical of Mexico City’s late wet season, limiting radiational cooling at the high-elevation site. Official station data, particularly from the international airport and central observatories, appear to have settled near the 13–14°C range, producing the near-even split in market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Historical August minima average around 11–13°C, but elevated humidity and cloudiness this week reduced the chance of sharper drops below 12°C, keeping lower-probability outcomes thinly traded. Final resolution will hinge on the precise 24-hour minimum reported by CONAGUA or equivalent verified records.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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