**Latest official forecasts position 22–23°C as the clear market leaders for London’s highest temperature on August 30.** The Met Office forecast updated on 29 August gives a daytime maximum of 23°C under a mix of bright spells and showers, with hourly profiles from multiple sources peaking near 22°C in the early afternoon before cooling. Southwesterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and a risk of afternoon showers are limiting further warming, keeping values close to or slightly above the late-August climatological average of roughly 21–22°C. Model consensus across Met Office, Yr, and other guidance shows little spread, with no signals of stronger insolation or warmer advection that could push readings to 24°C or higher. The tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 22°C (34.5%) and 23°C (52%) therefore mirrors the narrow forecast envelope and the proximity of resolution, leaving only modest room for last-minute adjustments from overnight model updates or observational tweaks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 30?
Highest temperature in London on August 30?
23°C 52%
22°C 35%
21°C 8%
24°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
35%
23°C
52%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 52%
22°C 35%
21°C 8%
24°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
$496 KL.
<1%
18°C
$489 KL.
<1%
19°C
$603 KL.
<1%
20°C
$629 KL.
2%
21°C
$845 KL.
8%
22°C
$1,183 KL.
35%
23°C
$3,180 KL.
52%
24°C
$795 KL.
7%
25°C
$487 KL.
2%
26°C
$589 KL.
<1%
27°C or higher
$502 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts position 22–23°C as the clear market leaders for London’s highest temperature on August 30.** The Met Office forecast updated on 29 August gives a daytime maximum of 23°C under a mix of bright spells and showers, with hourly profiles from multiple sources peaking near 22°C in the early afternoon before cooling. Southwesterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and a risk of afternoon showers are limiting further warming, keeping values close to or slightly above the late-August climatological average of roughly 21–22°C.
Model consensus across Met Office, Yr, and other guidance shows little spread, with no signals of stronger insolation or warmer advection that could push readings to 24°C or higher. The tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 22°C (34.5%) and 23°C (52%) therefore mirrors the narrow forecast envelope and the proximity of resolution, leaving only modest room for last-minute adjustments from overnight model updates or observational tweaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,798Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts position 22–23°C as the clear market leaders for London’s highest temperature on August 30.** The Met Office forecast updated on 29 August gives a daytime maximum of 23°C under a mix of bright spells and showers, with hourly profiles from multiple sources peaking near 22°C in the early afternoon before cooling. Southwesterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and a risk of afternoon showers are limiting further warming, keeping values close to or slightly above the late-August climatological average of roughly 21–22°C.
Model consensus across Met Office, Yr, and other guidance shows little spread, with no signals of stronger insolation or warmer advection that could push readings to 24°C or higher. The tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 22°C (34.5%) and 23°C (52%) therefore mirrors the narrow forecast envelope and the proximity of resolution, leaving only modest room for last-minute adjustments from overnight model updates or observational tweaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,798Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official forecasts position 22–23°C as the clear market leaders for London’s highest temperature on August 30.** The Met Office forecast updated on 29 August gives a daytime maximum of 23°C under a mix of bright spells and showers, with hourly profiles from multiple sources peaking near 22°C in the early afternoon before cooling. Southwesterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and a risk of afternoon showers are limiting further warming, keeping values close to or slightly above the late-August climatological average of roughly 21–22°C. Model consensus across Met Office, Yr, and other guidance shows little spread, with no signals of stronger insolation or warmer advection that could push readings to 24°C or higher. The tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 22°C (34.5%) and 23°C (52%) therefore mirrors the narrow forecast envelope and the proximity of resolution, leaving only modest room for last-minute adjustments from overnight model updates or observational tweaks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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