Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a westerly flow with mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers, and moderate Atlantic air masses holding the daily maximum near 21–22°C on 31 August, positioning these as the leading market outcomes. Wind speeds around 10–15 mph and high cloud cover limit diurnal heating, consistent with late-August climatology where London highs average near 20–22°C. Model runs show limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 23°C if breaks in cloud occur; downside to 20°C remains possible if showers persist longer. The implied probabilities reflect this tight consensus among short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on the official hourly observations at London weather stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 31?
Highest temperature in London on August 31?
22°C 47%
21°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
25%
22°C
47%
23°C
20%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 47%
21°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
$309 KL.
<1%
17°C
$178 KL.
<1%
18°C
$88 KL.
1%
19°C
$68 KL.
3%
20°C
$344 KL.
6%
21°C
$294 KL.
25%
22°C
$1,430 KL.
47%
23°C
$666 KL.
20%
24°C
$261 KL.
5%
25°C
$65 KL.
2%
26°C or higher
$75 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a westerly flow with mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers, and moderate Atlantic air masses holding the daily maximum near 21–22°C on 31 August, positioning these as the leading market outcomes. Wind speeds around 10–15 mph and high cloud cover limit diurnal heating, consistent with late-August climatology where London highs average near 20–22°C. Model runs show limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 23°C if breaks in cloud occur; downside to 20°C remains possible if showers persist longer. The implied probabilities reflect this tight consensus among short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on the official hourly observations at London weather stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,778Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a westerly flow with mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers, and moderate Atlantic air masses holding the daily maximum near 21–22°C on 31 August, positioning these as the leading market outcomes. Wind speeds around 10–15 mph and high cloud cover limit diurnal heating, consistent with late-August climatology where London highs average near 20–22°C. Model runs show limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 23°C if breaks in cloud occur; downside to 20°C remains possible if showers persist longer. The implied probabilities reflect this tight consensus among short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on the official hourly observations at London weather stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,778Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a westerly flow with mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers, and moderate Atlantic air masses holding the daily maximum near 21–22°C on 31 August, positioning these as the leading market outcomes. Wind speeds around 10–15 mph and high cloud cover limit diurnal heating, consistent with late-August climatology where London highs average near 20–22°C. Model runs show limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 23°C if breaks in cloud occur; downside to 20°C remains possible if showers persist longer. The implied probabilities reflect this tight consensus among short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on the official hourly observations at London weather stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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