Recent tropical low-pressure remnants from Typhoon Shadell are driving increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shenzhen through early September, moderating daytime heating and creating forecast uncertainty around peak temperatures. Official guidance and ensemble models show highs clustered near the seasonal norm of 31°C, with rain-cooled air masses and variable steering patterns differentiating outcomes between 29–33°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions and high dew points near 26°C further limit extreme warming, while any rapid clearing could allow brief spikes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and Central Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 1?
31°C 35%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
29°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
12%
30°C
19%
31°C
36%
32°C
26%
33°C
11%
34°C or higher
7%
31°C 35%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
29°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
12%
30°C
19%
31°C
36%
32°C
26%
33°C
11%
34°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent tropical low-pressure remnants from Typhoon Shadell are driving increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shenzhen through early September, moderating daytime heating and creating forecast uncertainty around peak temperatures. Official guidance and ensemble models show highs clustered near the seasonal norm of 31°C, with rain-cooled air masses and variable steering patterns differentiating outcomes between 29–33°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions and high dew points near 26°C further limit extreme warming, while any rapid clearing could allow brief spikes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and Central Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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