Recent model runs from sources including GFS and regional guidance indicate a cooling trend for Wuhan on September 1, with highs likely settling near 29°C amid increasing northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits peak solar heating after late-August warmth near 32–33°C. Historical early-September averages hover around 28–30°C, and current conditions show moderating humidity plus light precipitation chances that cap extremes, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 28–31°C. Traders weigh the balance between residual summer heat and advancing seasonal transition, with final resolution depending on updated observational data and model consensus before market close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 1?
29°C 32%
30°C 25%
27°C 20%
28°C 16%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
16%
29°C
32%
30°C
25%
31°C
10%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
5%
29°C 32%
30°C 25%
27°C 20%
28°C 16%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
16%
29°C
32%
30°C
25%
31°C
10%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from sources including GFS and regional guidance indicate a cooling trend for Wuhan on September 1, with highs likely settling near 29°C amid increasing northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits peak solar heating after late-August warmth near 32–33°C. Historical early-September averages hover around 28–30°C, and current conditions show moderating humidity plus light precipitation chances that cap extremes, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 28–31°C. Traders weigh the balance between residual summer heat and advancing seasonal transition, with final resolution depending on updated observational data and model consensus before market close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp